On the basis of climate modeling and analogies with past conditions, the potential
for multimeter increases in sea level by the end of the 21st century has been proposed.
We consider glaciological conditions required for large sea-level rise to occur by
2100 and conclude that increases in excess of 2 meters are physically untenable.
We find that a total sea-level rise of about 2 meters by 2100 could occur under physically
possible glaciological conditions but only if all variables are quickly accelerated
to extremely high limits. More plausible but still accelerated conditions lead to
total sea-level rise by 2100 of about 0.8 meter. These roughly constrained scenarios
provide a "most likely" starting point for refinements in sea-level forecasts that
include ice flow dynamics
London Telegraph About a Sea Level Expert :
But if there is one scientist who knows more about sea levels than anyone else in
the world it is the Swedish geologist and physicist Nils-Axel Mörner, formerly chairman
of the INQUA International Commission on Sea Level Change. And the uncompromising
verdict of Dr Mörner, who for 35 years has been using every known scientific method
to study sea levels all over the globe, is that all this talk about the sea rising
is nothing but a colossal scare story.
. . .
Despite fluctuations down as well as up, "the sea is not rising," he says. "It hasn't
risen in 50 years." If there is any rise this century it will "not be more than 10cm
(four inches), with an uncertainty of plus or minus 10cm". And quite apart from examining
the hard evidence, he says, the elementary laws of physics (latent heat needed to
melt ice) tell us that the apocalypse conjured up by
Al Gore and Co could not possibly come about.
. . .
When running the International Commission on Sea Level Change, he launched a special
project on the Maldives, whose leaders have for 20 years been calling for vast sums
of international aid to stave off disaster. Six times he and his expert team visited
the islands, to confirm that the sea has not risen for half a century. Before announcing
his findings, he offered to show the inhabitants a film explaining why they had nothing
to worry about. The government refused to let it be shown.
. . .
When I spoke to Dr Mörner last week, he expressed his continuing dismay at how the
IPCC has fed the scare on this crucial issue. When asked to act as an "expert reviewer"
on the IPCC's last two reports, he was "astonished to find that not one of their
22 contributing authors on sea levels was a sea level specialist: not one". Yet the
results of all this "deliberate ignorance" and reliance on rigged computer models
have become the most powerful single driver of the entire warmist hysteria.
•For more information, see Dr Mörner on YouTube (Google Mörner, Maldives and YouTube);
or read on the net his 2007 EIR interview "Claim that sea level is rising is a total
fraud"; or email him – email@example.com – to buy a copy of his booklet 'The Greatest
Lie Ever Told'
this newest analysis of the most comprehensive data set available suggests that there
has been no dramatic increase – or any increase, for that matter – in the mean rate
of global sea level rise due to the historical increase in the atmosphere’s CO2 concentration.[Therefore,
there is no evidence of any human influence on sea levels]
See: Trends and acceleration in global and regional sea levels since 1807. Global
and Planetary Change 113: 11-22. Jevrejeva, S., Moore, J.C., Grinsted, A., Matthews,
A.P. and Spada, G. 2014.